Interview with Rich Goodin
Questions by Sander Olson. Answers by Rich Goodin.
Rich Goodin is an electrical engineer and computer scientist by training who has specialties in numerous fields, including nuclear engineering and nuclear physics. He has helped design numerous Application Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs), including the famous Voodoo2. His latest venture, Proximal Technologies, aims to speed nanotechnology development by creating advanced methodologies and software to aid development.
Question 1: Tell us
a little about yourself. What is your background, what are your occupation,
etc.?
I have a BSEE from the University
of Delaware from back in the days when there was no clear division between
software and hardware engineering. My formal training has spanned a number
of disciplines, from mechanical and electrical engineering to nuclear physics
and nuclear engineering. I have spent the last 20+ years switching
round-robin between hardware design, software design, and system architecture.
For the first part of my career, I held various technical and management
positions is such companies as Sperry Univac, Evans and Sutherland and
Sun Microsystems. For the last decade I've been consulting as Goodin &
Associates to focus primarily on solving technical problems for my clients.
Goodin & Associates focuses on hardware ASIC design, software, and
system architecture in computer graphics and networking.
Computer graphics, my first
love, has gone from a field where technical elegance and creative approaches
to problems were highly valued to an exercise of applying brute computational
force to problems. While the results coming out of computer graphics are
nothing short of spectacular, the algorithm development and systems architecture
challenges are more mundane. I have been predicting for a number of years
that graphics would become uninteresting once processors were sufficiently
powerful. I was caught by surprised when it actually appeared to have happened.
I love engineering. I am
happiest professionally when solving a difficult problem and learning something
new in the process. I define engineering, differentiating it from research,
as the process of extending what we know just enough to produce something
useful. While there is still an incredible amount of basic research required
in nanotechnology, I think that there is enough of a knowledge base to
begin the actual engineering of nanotechnology. I think that there is a
lot of accumulated experience in ASIC design and mechanical engineering
intelligent CAD that is directly applicable to create an infrastructure
to design and build nanoscale devices.
When not working, I enjoy
teaching. I am a PADI scuba instructor and also teach high performance
driving in addition to racing my BMW M3 racecar. There are few things better
than watching a student's reaction as he or she accomplishes something
previously thought impossible.
Question 2: When did
you first become interested in the topic of molecular nanotechnology? Was
there a "Eureka" moment when you discovered that you wanted to work in
the field of nanotechnology?
I don't know that I had
a particular "Eureka" moment as to the viability of nanotechnology. I have
always viewed it as a natural extension of the trend in miniaturization.
The "Eureka" moment for
me was a few years ago when I noticed nanotech research going down down
some of the same conceptual paths as early ASIC design. I remember sitting
in a circuits conference in San Diego two decades ago where a paper was
presented "How do we build a chip with 10^6 transistors?". I would propose
that the equivalent challenge to nanotechnology is "How do we build a mechanism
with 10^6 atoms?". I think that number is about right to set a goal
for a design methodology useful for creating real products.
I also discovered in my
work with MEMS that a number of interesting nanotech methodology problems
could be attacked and worked out at MEMS scale. I think that there are
many significant engineering problems to solve before producing a real
nanoscale product. I think that a basis for attacking those problems is
beginning to form.
I believe that atomically
precise manufacturing is possible. I also believe that the process of developing
an infrastructure to create such mechanisms will produce a whole host of
interesting, useful and profitable spin-offs. I also have a talent for
taking ideas from widely diverse fields and synthesizing them together
in new and unique ways. I can't think of a better place for me to be than
in the field of nanotechnology, where mechanical engineering, molecular
chemistry, system design, MEMS, and software simulation, etc. all come
together.
Question 3: How would
you describe the current investment climate for nanotechnology. Is corporate
and VC funding adequate?
I would describe the investment
climate in general as difficult, but this is not just limited to nanotech.
The reality of the "dot bomb" effect in the technology sector is that a
lot of the "less risk averse" funding sources have dried up by essentially
losing their assets. It also seems that the expectation for profitability,
both in time and initial investment, excludes investment in the type of
nanotech infrastructure in which I'm interested.
Right now, nanotech seems
to be the new darling of investors looking for the possibility of a big
win. Most of the concentration is in "near horizon" applications, mostly
materials science and molecular electronics. Technanogy is probably the
most obvious funding source for pure materials applications. Most large
computer companies have some research work in molecular electronics and
semiconducting nanotubes.
I believe that the time
scale for producing an actual nanotech consumer product is in the decade
range and will probably first appear in the field of nano-medicine. Most
US investors are not willing to invest large amounts of capital on that
time scale. Historically, there have been funding sources outside the US
with long enough investment horizons to fund a substantial nanotech effort,
but these seem to have dried up during the "dot boom" days. It will be
interesting to see if those sources and new domestic resources will now
resurface.
The best private funding
opportunities at the moment seem to be threefold:
1) "White Knight" investors:
People who believe in nanotechnology and wish to fund it on grounds of
belief and not necessarily financial merits. I believe that Zyvex's investors
fall into this category. Zyvex's investment page at http://www.zyvex.com/Corporate/investment.html
is a good example of this mindset.
2) Strategic Alliance: Convince
an existing company to start up an effort to create a future nanotech product
in their existing product space. This works well for end products but is
a difficult sell for building a nanotech infrastructure.
3) Derivative Product: Pick
a product along a development path eventually leading towards nanotech.
If you can produce an initial non-nanotech product along this development
path and show profitability in the short term, this will allow you to secure
funding and bootstrap your nanotech development. This was the path I was
pursuing in obtaining funding for my proposed company, Proximal Technologies,
without success. This seemed like the best path for developing the needed
infrastructure for nanotech products.
Question 4: What about
Government funding? Some have claimed that many scientists are merely inserting
the words "nano" "nanotechnology' or "nanotech" into their research projects
to garner more Government funds. Is this assessment accurate?
I know of no one who has
had major success in getting government funding outside of basic research
so I have not pursued this strategy, the National Nanotechnology Initiative
not withstanding.
The government seems to
be reasonably good at funding basic research. There still remains an immense
amount of basic research to develop the underpinnings of nanotech.
Question 5: You have
emphasized the importance of infrastructure to the development of molecular
nanotechnology. Are any of the R&D nanotechnology efforts, either Government
of VC funded, related to developing this infrastructure?
Low level research projects
for pushing atoms around are certainly interesting and will provide the
basic building blocks for any directed atomic assembly in the future. I'm
particularly interested in the low temperature work at NIST.
Projects such as the Silicon
Fleas work at Cornell are laying both the mental and physical groundwork
for future nanodevices. The architectural trade-offs for mechanisms at
even the MEMS scale are non-intuitive and surprising to a classically trained
mechanical engineer. Nanoscale devices will be even stranger.
I value the molecular electronics
and nano-materials efforts for their ability to lend some legitimacy to
the concept of making useful and profitable products from nanoscale engineering.
However, I don't see much contribution to the type of nanoscale systems
in which I am interested coming from these efforts.
There is some work occurring
in computer simulation, but I think that it is generally focused in the
wrong direction for what I want to do. While accurately simulating systems
at the atomic level with less computation is a worthy goal, I think that
refocusing on what can be simulated easily rather than simulating everything
accurately would be more valuable to what I would like to accomplish.
Finally, I am in absolute
awe of the biologists attempting to co-opt natural processes to generate
molecular scale devices. The level of understanding and insight required
is mind boggling to me. Unfortunately, I believe that the simplest of these
approaches will prove not complex enough for our needs and the more complex
approaches will prove too complex to function reliably. Even if my assumptions
prove correct and no nanotech designs result, this research is probably
valuable and will stand on its own outside of nanotech.
Question 6: What proposals
do you have for developing the necessary nanotechnology infrastructure?
How long do you think it would take to develop such an infrastructure?
Hand me lots of cash to
fund my company:-)
Ok, on a serious note I'll
make the following three proposals:
1) Develop a higher level
of abstraction.
The current design and computer
analysis of atomically precise mechanisms, while impressive, is not how
I believe production nanotechnology will look. Current designs make a great
argument for the possibility of useful nanotech designs but are computationally
intractable. As far as I'm aware, they are impossible to analyze with ab
initio methods and are difficult for even molecular mechanics to get a
handle on.
Borrowing from the field
of ASIC design, the last time I actually designed a transistor to produce
a chip was two decades ago. The last time I actually hooked up a gate (a
logic element comprised multiple transistors) was better than a decade
ago. The last production chip I worked on had millions of transistors that
were synthesized from a high level abstraction. The tool that does this
constructs the logic from simple building blocks following simple connection
and optimization rules applied to a high level functional description.
With this approach, I waste many hundreds of thousands of gates but am
able to design a complex chip in less than galactic time.
This approach was tried
in mechanical engineering a decade ago under the umbrella of ICAD, or Intelligent
Computer Aided Design. I would refocus efforts from atomic assembly to
assembling building blocks of tens or hundreds of atoms. The building blocks
would be specifically designed for ease of synthesis and analysis. Yes,
our devices would be hundreds of times larger than the optimal versions,
but we could at least design them.
This is not an easy task,
ECAD works because the building blocks are simple and digital logic can
be recursively and hierarchally built up. ICAD failed because 3D mechanical
designs are not that simple. I believe we are entering the era where computers
with sufficient horsepower will be available to make this approach possible.
2) Develop a robust technology
for parallel assembly.
Currently, every mechanical
device outside of MEMS is assembled serially. An auto assembly line is
a good example of this. Imagine an assembly plant that produces thousands
of automobiles at once. Now imagine that we control this process with a
single set of instructions. This is pretty easy to imagine as long as their
are no problems, or faults, in production. Further assume that one car
out of every thousand will have a problem such as a door not attaching
correctly. How do you detect and correct this problem? Even if you assume
that throwing out the bad car is acceptable, how do you handle this without
corrupting the rest of the assembly process for the other cars? Now scale
this up by a factor of a billion. This is what would be required to assemble
a nanotech device that we could see under an optical microscope.
Just as an efficient massively
parallel computer algorithm bears minimal resemblance to its serial cousin,
so the parallel mechanical assembly process bears little relationship to
its simpler serial cousin. If you throw in the physics of the nanoscale
(or even the MEMS scale) and the difficulties of even sensing that a fault
has occurred, you begin to see the scope of the problem.
3) Educate generalists.
The current engineering
education system seems to be focused on producing engineers who understand
less about engineering in general and more about a particular task, such
as ASIC design. I was lucky in college to have a mentor who had just left
Bell Labs. I learned more from his assignments, almost exclusively "how
would you" verses "get the correct answer" assignments, than any other
course work I had. My background is pretty evenly versed in Mechanical,
Electrical and Nuclear engineering. This allowed me to take some interesting
approaches in designing computer controlled mechanical suspensions and
digital reactor control circuitry that I couldn't have come up with approaching
the problem from just one discipline.
As Fred Brooks pointed out
in his 1999 Turing Award lecture "The Design of Design", we are teaching
young engineers design methodologies that are not really used by experienced
designers. We need to close this gap. And, as the specialization dividing
lines blur at the nanoscale, more generalists are needed.
Question 7: What is
your opinion of Drexlarian nanotechnology? Do you believe in the concept
of the assembler?
If what you mean by an assembler
is something that places systems components to build up complicated mechanisms
verses some sort of self-assembly, I believe in the assembler.
I guess this analogy has
been beaten to death, but I'll use it anyway. We do have a self-assembling
form of transportation: the horse. We also have a directly-assembled form
of transportation: the car. Most people choose the car over the horse due
to efficiency, cost of upkeep, hassle and performance.
Now what I would really
like is a self assembling car! Since I believe that the characteristic
differences and inefficiencies that make people choose one over the other
are due in large part to the self assembly overhead of the horse that the
car doesn't need, I doubt that I will ever see a self-assembling car.
I would really like to believe
in self-assembly due to its potential simplicity, but I find myself strongly
in the assembler camp.
Question 8:
Chip designers, in keeping with Moore's Law, are continually reducing the
size of active elements in microprocessors and Application Specific Integrated
Circuits (ASICs). Chemists and biologists are also gaining increasing knowledge
of and control over molecules. Do you believe that the "top down" or "bottom
up" approach to Molecular Nanotechnology will be more successful?
I believe that simple chemical
reactions will not allow sufficient complexity to produce interesting mechanisms
via self-assembly. I believe that modifying or tailoring existing biological
systems will result in systems too complex to be designed reliably. It
is possible that when we have a sufficient understanding of the underlying
functionality of biological systems to use them in design, we will probably
have the technology to design more efficient mechanisms from scratch.
Having said this, I believe
the first nanotech products will be in the field of materials science and
molecular and nanotube-based electronics. These "bottom up" approaches,
since they address limited functionality, will dead end pretty quickly
in favor of more robust and flexible "top down" approaches.
Question 9: Does the
U.S. stand to gain or lose influence from Molecular Nanotechnology (MNT)
development? Do you think that nations such as China, with a relatively
primitive technology base, can effectively compete with the U.S. and western
Europe?
I think that technological
innovation and excellence have been at the core of US influence worldwide.
This gives us an edge, but not a large one.
Since nanotechnology is
in its infancy, I think that all bets are off as to who will be able to
capitalize on its promise first. I don't view nanotechnology as a derivative
technology. I think it is a field in want of good ideas and insights. I
think that the pivotal ideas can be as easily derived by applying thought
to pencil and paper as by applying rooms of supercomputers. One good idea
applied to simplify analysis and simulation could nullify machine years
of computation.
Question 10: How long
do you think it will it take for the VC community to recover the dot.com
meltdown and resume investing heavily in startups? Do you believe that
nanotoechnology related startup companies will ever be able to obtain funding
as easily as Internet startups did during the late 1990s?
I think that we are looking
at a few years until VC funding ramps back up to what I consider reasonable
levels. I don't think that we will ever see the days again when funding
is as easy to get as it was during the "dot boom", and that is a good thing.
People will once again have to make a reasonable case for profitably, put
in place sane management structures, and be accountable for making demonstrable
progress. Even though this will restrict funding for more speculative ventures,
such as nanotech, we will avoid funding backlashes like the one we are
currently in the middle of. It will also promote the idea of producing
tangible results with "Other People's Money".
Question 11:
Do you share Bill Joy's concerns about the dangers of developing technologies
like nanotechnology?
I share some of his concerns
but not his approach. I think that any sufficiently advanced and powerful
technology can be co-opted for destruction. I think that we were tragically
reminded of that on September 11th in the events surrounding the World
Trade Center and Pentagon. I don't think that anyone other than the terrorists
(and Tom Clancy) seriously considered using a commercial aircraft as a
weapon. I know that I'm not about to give up commercial flying, which allows
me to live North Carolina and consult for companies across the country,
just because this technology has the potential for horrible destruction.
For me terrorist uses of
nanotechology fall in the same category as biological and nuclear terrorism.
It is generally assumed that a nanotech weapon is just a bad implementation
running amok. I believe that building a nanotech weapon will actually be
more difficult than generating a useful nanotech product.Most people make
the assumption that creating a weapon of mass destruction is actually easier
than the peaceful use of the underlying technology. In nuclear engineering,
it is actually quite difficult to build a fissionable device of a kiloton
or so without killing yourself in the process. It is trivial to find anthrax
in any nearby pasture. It is incredibly difficult to create a dispersible
aerosol to turn the anthrax into a weapon. I believe that nanotechnology
falls in the same category.
I also believe that it is
easier and makes more sense to create naturally limited systems involving
nanotechnology than unlimited systems which could possibly run amok. I
believe most other researchers who are searching for something productive
to do with nanotechnology will be of a like mind. With simple safeguards
in place, we will face no more threat from nanotech than we currently face
from high risk chemicals, such as Dioxin, used in the production of every
day items.
Nanoechnology shows unbelievable
promise as a powerful technology for good. Even if my Pollyanna view of
the inherent responsibility of researchers and ineptness of evildoers is
wrong, I believe that abandoning nanotechnology is absolutely the wrong
approach.
We, as a species, have shown
an incredible ability to turn the most blue sky ideas into reality once
we have thought of them. I think that we will eventually have the ability
of atomically precise manufacturing. It may not look at all like any of
us think it will today. If we can think it, we eventually can do it. If
it has a possibility of great benefit, we should do it. If it has the possibility
of great harm, we should still do it in an attempt to mitigate the possible
damage. Even if we believe that nanotech is impossible, we should still
strive for it because of all that we will learn in the process of disproving
it.
Question 12
What are your plans for the future?
Continue my consulting business
in graphics and networking. Attempt to secure funding for Proximal Tech
or find some other company where I can pursue my ideas and approaches to
nanotech.
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